Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 70.307457 79.279212 88.472134 98.563812 109.299466 120.349591 132.553601
2025-06-08 55.400544 68.113223 81.758193 97.360369 114.580640 132.891042 153.719502
2025-06-15 47.907714 62.815296 79.361384 98.816547 120.812963 144.684666 172.329989
2025-06-22 42.315773 58.812790 77.673499 100.382240 126.569931 155.457245 189.380889
2025-06-29 36.535875 53.901987 74.353453 99.546595 129.141595 162.276711 201.677121
2025-07-06 30.985374 48.693642 70.196395 97.293920 129.700455 166.497032 210.760335
2025-07-13 29.025628 47.773272 71.043198 100.834378 136.896697 178.228825 228.326234
2025-07-20 26.689547 46.125061 70.803267 102.904347 142.231110 187.716852 243.252298
2025-07-27 23.591722 43.173536 68.695374 102.489109 144.435437 193.428785 253.712774
2025-08-03 20.699244 40.239265 66.401938 101.665348 146.000600 198.275275 263.073429
2025-08-10 18.662950 38.339926 65.327739 102.268520 149.221722 205.022855 274.617026
2025-08-17 16.446588 35.966349 63.461311 101.725512 150.923405 209.875618 283.864978
2025-08-24 14.700045 34.177954 62.322282 102.098355 153.779215 216.167161 294.909952
2025-08-31 12.682662 31.755057 60.153557 101.001573 154.702455 220.062097 303.064903
2025-09-07 11.599646 30.759856 59.943874 102.467745 158.847492 227.869257 315.904677
2025-09-14 10.653153 29.900680 59.868438 104.070472 163.139222 235.843043 328.944683
2025-09-21 9.188098 27.951578 58.065141 103.216385 164.185665 239.758323 337.034713
2025-09-28 7.560749 25.473148 55.307737 100.915310 163.248045 241.133827 341.975273
2025-10-05 7.344416 25.723235 56.757783 104.531761 170.105413 252.272426 358.874256
2025-10-12 6.839269 25.329468 57.163635 106.645657 174.964964 260.903724 372.709412
2025-10-19 5.898437 23.896187 55.836346 106.221637 176.406768 265.202264 381.201542
2025-10-26 4.986069 22.371610 54.268331 105.380411 177.239273 268.694773 388.675222
2025-11-02 4.400392 21.500253 53.723857 105.996378 180.011376 274.639125 399.179461